ANALISIS HUBUNGAN HARGA TIMAH BKDI DAN LME SERTA KEBIJAKAN EKSPOR TERHADAP KINERJA EKSPOR TIMAH INDONESIA

Hasni Hasni

doi:10.30908/bilp.v9i2.8

Hasni Hasni Kementerian Perdagangan

DOI: https://doi.org/10.30908/bilp.v9i2.8

Abstract Views: 1343 |

PDF Downloads: 1490

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Keywords: Timah, Ekspor, BKDI, Granger Causality, Tin, Export, ICDX

Abstract

Timah merupakan bahan tambang yang tidak terbarukan. Indonesia menempati peringkat kedua sebagai produsen bijih timah terbesar dunia. Sejak 30 Agustus 2013, ekspor timah Indonesia harus melalui mekanisme transaksi di Bursa Komoditi dan Derivatif Indonesia (BKDI). Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis hubungan antara harga timah BKDI dan harga timah di London Metal Exchange (LME) serta kebijakan ekspor terhadap kinerja ekspor timah Indonesia. Data yang digunakan merupakan data sekunder dari BKDI, LME, Asian Metal dan BPS. Hasil penelitian dengan menggunakan metode Granger causality menunjukkan bahwa setelah satu tahun penerapan ekspor timah melalui BKDI, harga timah BKDI dipengaruhi oleh harga timah LME pada rentang waktu satu hari kerja. Dari sisi penerimaan ekspor, kebijakan ekspor melalui BKDI dapat meningkatkan nilai ekspor timah bulanan ke Singapura. Pemerintah harus melanjutkan kebijakan ekspor timah yakni ekspor melalui Bursa Komoditi dan Derivatif Indonesia untuk mencegah ekspor timah ilegal dan meningkatkan daya saing serta nilai tambah produk timah ekspor Indonesia.

Tin is a non-renewable mineral. Indonesia is the second largest producer of tin ore in the world. Since August 30 2013, Indonesian tin export has been done through The Indonesia Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (ICDX) transaction mechanism. This study aims to analyze the relationship between ICDX’s tin price and the London Metal Exchange (LME) price as well as the effect of tin export mechanism through ICDX on the Indonesia’s tin export performance. The secondary data were taken from BKDI, LME, Asian Metal and BPS. The results showed that using Granger causality analysis, after one year the policy is being implemented, there is a relationship between ICDX’s tin price and LME price on one (working days) time lag. Tin export policy through ICDX mechanism can increase the value of monthly tin exports to Singapore, therefore it increases the export earning. The government needs to continue the tin export policy through the ICDX to prevent illegal tin export as well as to strenghten the competitiveness and value added of Indonesian tin export.

Author Biography

Hasni Hasni, Kementerian Perdagangan

Pusat Kebijakan Perdagangan Luar Negeri

References

Anaperta, Y.M. (2012). Optimalisasi Proses Pencucian Kapal Isap Produksi Timah Penganak Dalam Meningkatkan Pencapaian Produksi Di laut Permis. Jurnal Teknologi dan Informasi Pendidikan, Volume 5 Nomor 1 Maret 2012 pp. 122-135.

Asian Metal. (2014). Tin Price. Diunduh dari http://www.asianmetal.com/TinPrice/Tin.html Oktober 2014.

BPS. (2014). Statistik Ekspor Impor Indonesia 2014.

Bappebti. (2014). Analisis Harga Timah Januari 2014. Diunduh tanggal 11 November 2014 dari http://www.bappebti.go.id/media/docs/info-komoditi_2014-02-20_16-09-07_01.10_._Analisis_Bulanan_Timah-Januari_.pdf.

Baumohl, E., T. Vyrost. (2010). Stock Market Integration: Granger Causality Testing with respect to Nonsynchronous Trading Effects. Finance a úvěr-Czech Journal of Economics and Finance, 60, no. 5 pp. 414-425.

Bisnis com. 2 Mei 2014. Agustus 2013-Maret 2014, Volume Ekspor Timah Tembus 27.809 Ton. Diunduh tanggal 12 Mei 2014 dari

http://market.bisnis.com/read/20140502/94/223958/agustus-2013-maret-2014-volume-ekspor-timah-tembus-27.809-ton.

BKDI, (2014). Executive Summary, Agustus 2014 (tidak dipublikasikan).

Bojanic, A.N. (2009). The impact of tin on the economic growth of Bolivia. Coyuntura Económica, Vol. XXXIX, No. 2, pp. 171-183.

Firdaus, M. (2004). Ekonometrika Suatu Pendekatan Aplikatif. Jakarta: Bumi Aksara.

Gatra. (27 Maret 2014). Timah Malaysia dan Thailand van Babel. Diunduh tanggal 23 September 2014 dari http://www.gatra.com/fokus-berita/49793-timah-malaysia-dan-thailand-van-babel.html.

Greene, W. H. (2003). Econometric Analysis Fifth Edition. New Jersey: Prentice Hall.

Guo, S., Seth, A. K., Kendrick, K. M., Zhou, C., Feng, J. (2008). Partial Granger causality-Eliminating exogenous inputs and latent variables. Journal of Neuroscience Methods 172 pp. 79-93.

Hutton, Laurie. (2014). Tin: how Queensland can help alleviate looming world shortages. Queensland Government Mining Journal, Winter 2014 Vol 111 No. 3 pp. 12-16.

Infomine. (2014). Tin Price on April 2014. Diunduh 10 April 2014 dari www.infomine.com.

Irawan, R.R., U. Sumarwan., B. Suharjo., S. Djohar. (2014). Model Bisnis Industri Tambang Timah Berkelanjutan (Studi Kasus Bangka Belitung). Jurnal Aplikasi Manajemen Vol. 12 No. 2 pp. 197-207.

Kettle, Peter. (2014). Back from the doldrums? Tin is back on a path to recovery and higher prices may stimulate new project start-ups. Mining Journal 21 Maret 2014 pp. 18 - 21.

Koran Tempo. 6 Mei 2014. Kasus Ekspor Timah Ilegal: Pemerintah Akui Kebobolan.

London Metal Exchange. (2014). Historical Price Data. Diunduh dari www.lme.com Oktober 2014.

Mareta, Y. (2011). Laporan Umum Magang Tentang Keselamatan dan Kesehatan Kerja di Unit Metalurgi Muntok PT Timah (Persero) Tbk Bangka Belitung. Fakultas Kedokteran Universitas Sebelas Maret. Surakarta.

Ray, S. (2012). Globalization and Economic Growth in India: A Granger Causality Approach. Journal of Law, Policy and Globalization Vol 2, 2012 pp. 18-30.

Seth, A. K., A. B. Barrett., L. Barnett. (2015). Granger Causality Analysis in Neuroscience and Neuroimaging. The Journal of Neuroscience, Vol. 35 (8) February 25, 2015 pp. 3293-3297.

Steenkamp, J.D., J. Basson. (2013). The Manganese Ferroalloys Industry in Southern Africa. The Journal of The Southern African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy Vol. 113 Agustus 2013 pp. 667-676.

Sutrisno. (2013). Kajian Tinning (Sn Plating) Dalam Dunia Industri. Jurnal Foundry Vol. 3 No. 1 April 2013 pp. 19-24.

Think energy. (2014). Major Tin Producing Countries. Diunduh tanggal 31 Oktober 2014 dari http://www.think-energy.org/index.php/infographics/401-major-tin-producing-countries.