PENGARUH DIVERSIFIKASI EKSPOR TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN NILAI TAMBAH PER TENAGA KERJA SEKTOR MANUFAKTUR BERBASIS AGRO DAN NON-AGRO

  • Yudi Risman Hadiyanto Kementerian Perdagangan
DOI: https://doi.org/10.30908/bilp.v9i2.7
Abstract Views: 995 | PDF Downloads: 2296

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.
  
Keywords: Diversifikasi Ekspor, Pertumbuhan, Nilai Tambah, Manufaktur Agro, Manufaktur Non-agro, Export Diversification, Growth, Value Added

Abstract

Penelitian ini menganalisis pengaruh diversifikasi ekspor terhadap pertumbuhan nilai tambah per tenaga kerja sektor manufaktur berbasis agro dan non-agro. Data yang digunakan adalah data statistik industri (manufaktur) dan data ekspor periode 2000-2010 dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi panel dengan estimasi System Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) untuk mengatasi endogenitas pada variabel penjelas dan otokorelasi antara dependen variabel dengan lag-nya. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa diversifikasi pasar ekspor berkorelasi negatif dengan pertumbuhan nilai tambah per tenaga kerja manufaktur non-agro tapi tidak berpengaruh pada manufaktur agro. Diversifikasi produk horizontal ekspor berpengaruh positif bagi manufaktur non-agro tapi pengaruhnya negatif bagi manufaktur agro. Ini menunjukkan bahwa menambah varian produk ekspor dapat mendorong pertumbuhan nilai tambah per tenaga kerja manufaktur non-agro sedangkan manufaktur agro sebaliknya. Diversifikasi produk vertikal ekspor berpengaruh positif bagi pertumbuhan nilai tambah per tenaga kerja manufaktur non-agro namun tidak memberikan pengaruh bagi pertumbuhan nilai tambah per tenaga kerja manufaktur agro. Ini berarti bahwa -peningkatan ekspor produk-produk hilir manufaktur non-agro mampu mendorong pertumbuhan nilai tambah per tenaga kerja sektor manufaktur. Untuk menumbuhkan sektor manufaktur Pemerintah perlu mendorong investasi dan ekspor produk hilir dari manufaktur non-agro serta meningkatkan ekspor produk berdaya saing tinggi dari manufaktur agro.

 

This study analyzes the effect of export diversification on the value added growth per labor of agro and non-agro based manufacturing sector. This research used the statistical data of industry (manufacturing) and export data in the period of 2000-2010, provided by the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). As a method of analysis, panel regression is utilized using Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) in order to overcome the endogeneity problem on the explanatory variables and autocorrelation between the dependent variable and its lag. The results showed that the diversification of export markets has a negative correlation with the value added growth per labor of non-agro manufacturing sector but has no effect on agro manufacture. The horizontal product diversification of export has a positive impact on nonagro manufacture while for agro manufacture is negative. This indicates that the increasing of exported products can encourage the value added growth per labor, but it has the opposite effect on the agro manufacturing. The diversification of the vertical exported product has a positive influence on the value added growth per labor of non agro manufacture but does not give effect on the agro manufacture. This means that the increase of export of final products of non-agro manufacture is able to encourage the growth of the manufacturing sector. To support the growth of manufacturing sector, the goverment needs to encourage investment and exports of downstream industry products of non-agro manufacture and increase the export of highly competitive products in the agro manufacture.

Author Biography

Yudi Risman Hadiyanto, Kementerian Perdagangan
Pusat Kebijakan Kerjasama Perdagangan Luar Negeri

References

Aditya, A. & Roy, S. S. (2007). “Export Diversification and Economic Growth: Evidence from Cross-Country Analysis”, Mimeo, 1–25.

Agosin, Manuel R. (2007). “Export Diversification and Growth in Emerging Economics”, Working Paper No. 233, Departement of Economics, Universidad de Chile.

Arellano, M & S. R. Bond. (1991). “Some Test of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equation”, Review of Economics Studies Vol. 58 (2), pp. 277-97.

Arellano, M. & O. Bover. (1995). “Another Look at The Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error Componen Models”, Journal of Econometrics Vol. 68, pp. 29-51.

Baldwin, John R., D. Beckstead, G. Gellatly & A. Peters. (2000). “Patterns of Corporate Diversification in Canada: An Empirical Analysis ”, Analysis Studies Branch-Research Paper Series, Statistic Canada No. 11F0019MPE No. 150.

Blomström, Magnus & F. Sjöholm. (1999). “Technology Transfer and Spillovers: Does Local Participation with Multinationals Matter?”, Eropean Economic Review, Vol. 43 (4-6), pp. 915–923.

Castiglione, Concetta. (2011). “Veldoorn-Kaldor’s Law: an empirical analysis with time series data in the United States”. Advances in Management & Applied Economics, Vol. 1 (3), pp. 135-151.

Departemen Perindustrian. (2009a). Peta Panduan (Road Map) Pengembangan Klaster Industri Prioritas Basis Industri Manufaktur Tahun 2010-2014 (Buku I).

Departemen Perindustrian. (2009b). Peta Panduan (Road Map) Pengembangan Klaster Industri Prioritas Industri Berbasis Agro Tahun 2010-2014 (Buku II).

Departemen Perindustrian. (2009c). Peta Panduan (Road Map) Pengembangan Klaster Industri Prioritas Industri Alat Angkut Tahun 2010-2014 (Buku III).

Departemen Perindustrian. (2009d). Peta Panduan (Road Map) Pengembangan Klaster Industri Prioritas Industri Elektronika dan Telematika Tahun 2010-2014 (Buku IV).

De Pineres, Sheila A. G., & M. J. Ferrantino. (2000). “Export Dynamic and Economic Growth in Latin America”, Burlington, Vermont: Ashgate Publishing Ltd.

Ferdous, Farazi Binti. (2011). Export Diversification in East Asian Economies: Some Factors Affecting the Scenario. International Journal of Social Science and Humanity, Vol 1 (1) pp. 13-18.

Ferreira, Gustavo F.C. & R. Wes Harrison. (2012). From Coffee Beans to Microchips: Export Diversification and Economic Growth in Costa Rica. Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Vol. 44 (4), pp. 517-531.

Hadiyanto, Yudi Risman. (2013). Pengaruh Diversifikasi Ekspor Terhadap Pertumbuhan dan Volatilitas Output: Studi Kasus Sektor Industri Manufaktur Di Indonesia Periode 2000-2010. Depok: Disertasi Program Pascasarjana Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia.

Hadad, Mona E., Jamus Jerome Lim, & Christian Saborowski. (2010). “Trade Openness Reduces Growth When Countries are Well Diversified”. Policy Research Working Paper No. 5222. The World Bank.

Hamed, Khodayi, Darabi Hadi & Khodayi Hossein. (2014). Export Diversification and Economic Growth in Some Selected Developing Coutries. African Journal of Business Management. Vol. 8 (17), pp. 700-704.

Hausman, R. & Rodrik D. (2003). “Economic Development as Self Discovery”, Journal of Development Economics Vol. 72, pp. 603-633.

Hausmann, R. & Klinger B. (2006). “Structural Transformation and Pattern of Comparative Advantage in The Product Space”, CID Working Paper No. 128, Center of International Development, Harvard University.

Herzer, Dierk & Nowark-Lehmann D., Felicitas. (2006). “What Does Export Diversification Do for Growth? An Econometric Analysis”, Applied Economics, APE-04-0106.R1

Hesse, Heiko. (2008). “Export Diversification and Economic Growth”, World Bank Working Paper No. 21.

Imbs, J. & R. Wacziarg. (2003). Stage of Diversification. The American Economic Review Vol. 93 (1), pp. 63-86.

Kadyrova, Arailym. (2011). “The Effect of Export Diversification on Country Growth”. Master of Arts Thesis, Economics Departement of Central European University, Budapest.

Kementerian Perdagangan Republik Indonesia. (2010). Rencana Strategis Kementerian Perdagangan Periode 2010-2014.

Klinger, B., & Lederman, D. (2006). Diversification, Innovation, and Imitation inside the Global Technological Frontier. Research Policy Working Paper 3872, The World Bank, Washington, D.C.

Klinger, B. & Lederman, D. (2011). Export Discoveries, Diversification and Barrier to Entry. Economic Systems No. 35 (2011), PP. 64-83.

Laskiene, Daiva & Vitalija Venckuviene. (2014). Lithuania’s Export Diversification According to Technological Classification. Mediteranean Journal of Social Sciences. Vol. 5 (7). pp. 680-690.

Mejia, J. (2011). Export Diversification and Economic Growth: An Analysis of Colombia's Export Competitiveness in the European Union's Market. Physica Verlag Heidelberg. ISBN 978-3-7908-2742-2.

Melitz, Marc J. (2003). “The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity”, Econometrica, Vol. 71, No. 6, pp. 1695-1725.

Pan, Wei Hwa & Wei Chun Tsai. (2012). Internationalization, Regional Diversification and Firm Performance: The Moderating Effeects of Administrative Intensity. International Journal of Bussiness and Social Science. Vol. 3 (18), pp. 274-281.

Qian G. Lee Li. Ji Li, Zhengming Qian. (2008). Regional Diversification and Firm Performance. Journal of International Bussiness Studies. 2008 (39), pp. 197-2014.

Siregar, Hermanto & A. Daryanto. (2005). “Perkembangan dan Diversifikasi Ekspor Indonesia”, Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis, Vol. 2 (2), pp. 157-166.

Solow, Robert M. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics. Vol. 70 (1), pp. 65-94.

U.S. Department of Justice dan the Federal Trade Commission. (2010). Horizontal Merger Guidelines. Di unduh pada dari http://www.justice.gov/atr/public/guidelines/hmg-2010.pdf.

Vettas, Nikolaos. (2000). “Investment Dynamics in Market with Endogenous Demand”, The Journal of Industrial Economics, Vol. 48 (2), pp. 189-203.

World Bank. (2015). World Development Indicators. Diunduh dari http://data.worldbank.org/country/indonesia pada 18 Mei 2015.

Yokoyama, K. & A. A. Mengistu. (2009). “The Impact of Vertical and Horizontal Export Diversification on Growth: An Empirical Study on Factor Explaining the Gap between Sub-Saharan Africa and East Asia’s Performance”, Ritsumeikan International Affairs, Vol. 7, pp. 48-90.

Published
2015-12-31
How to Cite
Hadiyanto, Y. R. (2015). PENGARUH DIVERSIFIKASI EKSPOR TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN NILAI TAMBAH PER TENAGA KERJA SEKTOR MANUFAKTUR BERBASIS AGRO DAN NON-AGRO. Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan, 9(2), 179-200. https://doi.org/10.30908/bilp.v9i2.7
Section
Articles