DINAMIKA KERJASAMA EKONOMI INDONESIA DENGAN ANGGOTA ORGANISASI KONFERENSI ISLAM (OKI): POTENSI DAN PENGARUHNYA TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA
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Abstract
Sejak Organisasi Konferensi Islam (OKI) berdiri tahun 1969, kerjasama ekonomi antar anggotanya yang berjumlah 57 negara terbilang belum intensif. Salah satu indikasinya adalah rendahnya porsi intra-trade dan intra-investment OKI, serta pertumbuhan mereka yang juga relatif lambat. Penelitian ini membahas dinamika kerja sama ekonomi antara Indonesia dan anggota OKI serta prospek liberalisasi ekonomi OKI dan potensi dampaknya terhadap perekonomian Indonesia. Model yang digunakan adalah standard Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP). Analisis menunjukkan bahwa liberalisasi ekonomi OKI berpotensi memberikan dampak sektoral yang beragam bagi Indonesia, khususnya terlihat pada variabel makroekonomi seperti pertumbuhan ekonomi dan inflasi, output industri dan perdagangan. Indonesia dan anggota OKI lainnya dapat memperoleh manfaat optimal ketika diterapkan full liberalization. Oleh karena itu, Indonesia perlu mengambil peran untuk mendorong percepatan dan pendalaman liberalisasi perdagangan yang lebih komprehensif antar anggota OKI. Sebagai langkah awal, Indonesia perlu segera meratifikasi perjanjian Trade Preferential System of the Organization of the Islamic Conference (TPS-OIC).
Since the establishment of Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC) in 1969, the level of economic cooperation among its 57 member-countries has been limited, indicated by the low portion of intra-trade and intra-investment among the OIC members and their relatively slow growth. This study discusses the dynamic economic cooperation between Indonesia and the OIC members. Further, it analyzes the prospect of OIC economic liberalization and its potential impacts on the Indonesian economy. It uses secondary data and employs the standard of General Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model. It shows that the OIC economic liberalization potentially had varying sectoral impacts on Indonesian economy, which was particularly shown by macroeconomic variables (such as economic growth and inflation), industrial output, and trade. Furthermore, Indonesia and other OIC members would obtain optimum benefits when full liberalization is applied.
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