DAMPAK LIBERALISASI PERDAGANGAN SEKTOR PERTANIAN TERHADAP MAKRO DAN SEKTORAL EKONOMI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN MODEL EKONOMI KESEIMBANGAN UMUM

  • . Kasan Kementerian Perdagangan
DOI: https://doi.org/10.30908/bilp.v5i2.123
Abstract Views: 1102 | PDF Downloads: 5030

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.
  
Keywords: Trade liberalization, general equilibrium, agriculture sector

Abstract

Recently, trade liberalization issue particularly in agriculture sector has become the main issue in Doha Development Agenda-wTO. Trade liberalization in agriculture sector affected trade flow of primary agriculture products in global market particularly from developing countries to developed countries. This study analyzes the impact of trade liberalization in agriculture sector on macro and economic sectors of Indonesia, using general equilibrium economic model approach by employing gTAp model. It uses the data from the GTAP Version7. The main results show that trade liberalization in agriculture sector benefited developed countries such as the united states of America, Rusia, and european union. On the other hand, some developing countries such as Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Indonesia were negatively affected. furthermore, trade liberalization in agriculture sector reduced output of agriculture sector in Indonesia. nevertheless, the output of manufacturing sector increased because of reallocation of input factor from agriculture to manufacturing.

Author Biography

. Kasan, Kementerian Perdagangan

Pusat Kebijakan Perdagangan Luar Negeri, Badan Pengkajian dan Pengembangan Kebijakan Perdagangan

References

Asiedu, E. (2002). On the Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment to Developing Countries : Is Africa Different?. world Development , 30(1), pp. 107-119.

Bauhrer T, Mauro FD. (1995). Computable general equilibrium model as a tools for policy analysis in developing countries: Some basic principles and empirical application. Banca D”talia, Rome.

Carr, D. L., J. R. Markusen, and K. E. Maskus. (2004). Competition for Multinational Investment in Developing Countries: Human Capital, Infrastructure and Market Size, in Challenges to Globalization: Analyzing the economics - books.google.com.

Cheng Leonard K. and Yum K. Kwan. (2000). What are the determinants of the location of foreign direct investment? The Chinese experience. Journal of International economics, 51(2) , pp. 379-400.

Badan Pusat Statistik. (2009). Statistik Indonesia 2009. ISSN : 0126- 2912. Badan Pusat Statistik Republik Indonesia, Jakarta.

Dixix, PT., Josling, and D. Blandford. (2001). The Current WTO Agriculture Negotiations: Option for Progress, Syntesis. International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium Commissioned paper No. 18.

Dixon PB, Parmenter BR, Sutton J, Vincent DP. (1982). ORANI: A multi-sectoral model of the Australian economy. North- Holland, Amsterdam.

Dunn, R.M. (2000). International economics. Fith Edition. Routledge, New York.

Ellwood, W. (2002). The no-nonsense guide to glo balization. New Internationalist Publication: Oxford.

FAO. (2010). FAO Statistical Year Book. Rome.

Fukunari, K. (2003). Construction of FTA networks in East Asia. Japan Review of International Affairs. Vol. 17/3: 168-84.

GTAP. (2011). GTAP History. www.gtap. agecon.purdue.edu, diunduh pada tahun 2011

Hardono, G.S., P.S Handewi, dan S.H Suhartini. (2004). Liberalisasi Perdagangan: Sisi Teori, Dampak Empiris dan Perspektif Ketahanan Pangan. forum penelitian Agro Ekonomi, 22(2): 75-88.

Hertel, Thomas W dan Huff Karen M. (2000). Decomposing Welfare Changes in the GTAP Model. GTAp Technical paper No. 5. Cambridge University Press, New York.

Horridge JM, Parmenter BR, and Pearson KR. (1993). ORANI-F: A General Equilibrium Model of the Australian Economy. economic and financial Computing 3 (2) (Summer): 71-140

Horridge M. (2000). ORANI-G: A General Equilibrium Model of the Australian Economy. Center of Policy Studies and Impact Project Preliminary Working Paper No. OP-93. Monash University, October. http//www.monash.edu au./policy/elecpapr/op-93.htm.

Horridge M. (2002). ORANIG-RD: A Recursive Dynamic Version of ORANIG. http//www.monash.edu au./policy/oranig.htm.

Joseph, E., Stiglitz, and A. Charlton. (2005). Fair Trade For All, How Trade can promote Development, Oxford University Press, Oxford, hal. 171-260

Khor, M. (2000). globalization and The south. some Critical Issues , Third World Network: Penang Malaysia.

Krueger, A.O. (1999). Are Preferential Trading Arrangements Trade- Liberalizing or Protectionist? Journal of economic presp ectives, 13(4): 105-124.

Krugman, R.P., Obstfeld, M. 2000. International economics, Theory and policy . Fifth Edition. Pearson Adison Wesly, Pearson International Edition. USA.

Mai, Pham Hoang. (2002). Regional economic development and foreign direct investment flows in Vietnam, 1988–1998. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy 7(2): 182–202.

Michalak, W. dan Gibb, R. (1997). Trading Blocs and Multilateralism in the World Economy. Analysis of the Association of American geographers . Vol. 87. No. 2. Oxford: Association of American Geographers, 1997. 264-297.

Oktaviani, R dan E. Puspitawati. (2008). Teori, Model, dan Aplikasi GTAP (Global Trade Analysis Project) di Indonesia. Departemen Ilmu Ekonomi Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, Institut Pertanian Bogor, Bogor.

Oktaviani, R. Widyastutik, dan S. Amaliah. (2010). Manfaat dan Biaya Pendirian Kawasan Perdagangan Bebas ASEAN China Terhadap Ekonomi Makro dan Sektoral Indonesia. Makalah dipresentasikan pada FGD Kajian Dampak Persaingan Usaha Terkait dengan Pelaksanaan ACFTA. Kerjasama Universitas Airlangga dan KPPU. Surabaya, 23 September 2010.

Oktaviani. R, Iman S, and Anny R. (2003). Bank Restructuring and its Implication on Indonesian Macro Economy and Agriculture Sector. The AARES Conference Paper, Perth Australia.

Oktaviani. R, Sahara, Dwi H, dan Arman D. (2006). Analisis Dampak Perubahan Variabel Ekonomi terhadap Sektor Industri. Departemen Perindustrian RI, Jakarta.

OECD. (2002). Agriculture and Trade Liberalization: Extending the uruguay Round Agreemen t. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. Paris.

Rahmanto Bambang. (2005). Dampak Liberalisasi Perdagangan Global dan Perubahan Kondisi Ekonomi- Politik Domestic terhadap Dinamika Perdagangan Luar Negeri Kelompok Komoditas Berbasis Pertanian di Indonesia. Pusat Penelitian dan Pengembangan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, Badan Litbang Pertanian, Jakarta.

Salvatore, D. (1997). Ekonomi Internasional. Haris Munandar [Penerjemah]. Erlangga, Jakarta.

Sawit, M.H. (2001). WTO dan Nasib Negara Miskin. medium 65, 12 – 26, April.

Sawit, M.H. (2003). The Development of the WTO agreement of Agriculture: Harbonson Proposal and Indonesian need. Paper presented in Road to Cancun: Indonesian preparation to the next WTO Agreement. Jakarta.

Simatupang, P. (2004). Justifikasi dan metode penetapan Komoditas strategis . Pusat Penelitian dan Pengembangan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian. Bogor.

Suryana, A. (2004). Arah, Strategi dan Program Pembangunan Pertanian 2005–2009. Makalah disampaikan dalam Seminar Nasional Badan Penelitian dan Pengembangan Pertanian. Bogor, 4 Agustus 2004.

Yeah KL, Yanogida JF, Yamauchi H. (1994). Evaluation Of External Market Effects And Government Intervention In Malaysia’s Agicultural Sector: A computable general equilibrium framework. Journal of Agricultural economic Research 11 (2): 237-256.

Published
2011-12-31
How to Cite
Kasan, . (2011). DAMPAK LIBERALISASI PERDAGANGAN SEKTOR PERTANIAN TERHADAP MAKRO DAN SEKTORAL EKONOMI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN MODEL EKONOMI KESEIMBANGAN UMUM. Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan, 5(2), 123-147. https://doi.org/10.30908/bilp.v5i2.123
Section
Articles