DAMPAK ASEAN-CHINA FREE TRADE AGREEMENT (ACFTA) TERHADAP KINERJA PEREKONOMIAN DAN SEKTOR PERTANIAN INDONESIA
Abstract Views: 12475 |
PDF
Downloads: 10588
Downloads
Abstract
Sektor pertanian Indonesia seharusnya memperoleh dampak positif dari ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement (ACFTA). Namun demikian, kinerja sektor pertanian belum menunjukkan peningkatan yang berarti ketika sebagian besar komoditas pertanian telah diturunkan tarifnya melalui tahapan ACFTA. Studi ini meneliti dampak ACFTA terhadap kinerja sektor pertanian Indonesia sebelum dan sesudah ACFTA dengan menggunakan deskriptif analisis. Studi ini juga memprediksi kinerja perekonomian dan kinerja sektor pertanian setelah ACFTA diberlakukan secara penuh menggunakan metode ekonometrik dengan persamaan simultan. Hasil studi ini menunjukkan bahwa kinerja sektor pertanian Indonesia tidak lebih baik dibandingkan dengan sebelum implementasi ACFTA, dan diprediksi akan lebih buruk lagi setelah ACFTA diberlakukan sepenuhnya, akibat dari tingginya tekanan kompetisi dan kekakuan produsen domestik. Peningkatan kualitas infrastruktur domestik, pengembangan riset/teknologi serta penerapan regulasi yang mendukung daya saing merupakan kebijakan yang sangat diperlukan.
The ASEAN-China Frade Trade Agreement should positively influence Indonesia’s agricultural sector performance. Unfortunately, the current agricultural sector performance shows no signs of significant increase despite a decrease of tariffs on most agricultural commodities through ACFTA. This study sets out to examine the overall impact of ACFTA on Indonesian agricultural sector performance prior to and after the implementation of ACFTA through descriptive analysis. This study also predicts the overall economic performance and agricultural sector performance after the full implementation of ACFTA by utilizing econometric method with simultaneous equation. This study finds that the agricultural sector performance does not improve after the implementation of ACFTA and it argues further that it will weaken due to high pressure of competition and the rigidity of domestic producers. Quality improve on domestic infrastructure, research and technology development and regulations which enhance competitiveness are high priority policies to support Indonesia’s agricultural sector performance.
References
Ando, M. (2008). Economic Effects of an ASEAN + 6 Free Trade Agreement : A CGE Model Simulation Analysis. Asia Research Report 2007. Tokyo: Japan Center for Economic Research.
Aslam, M. (2012). The Impact of ASEAN-China Free Trade Area Agreement on ASEAN’s manufacturing Industry. International Journal of China Studies, Vol 3(1), pp. 43-78
Badan Pusat Statistik. (2013). Perkembangan Beberapa Indikator Utama Sosial-Ekonomi Indonesia, Agustus 2013. Jakarta: BPS.
Chia, S. Y. (2004). ASEAN-China Free Trade Area. Paper presented at the AEP Conference, 12-13 April 2004. Hongkong.
Ferrianta, Y., N. Hanani, B. Setiawan, W. Muhaimin. (2012). Impact of Trade Liberalization Asean-China Free Trade Area (ACFTA) on the Performance of Indonesia Maize Economy. Journal of Basic and Applied Scientific Research, Vol 2(7), pp. 6801-6809.
Feridhanusetiawan, T., M. Pangestu. (2003). Indonesian Trade Liberalisation: Estimating the Gains. Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Vol 39 (1), pp. 51-74.
Gingrich, C.D., J.D. Garber. (2010). Trade Liberalization’s Impact on Agriculture in Low Income Coubtries: a Comparison of El Savador and Costa Rica. The Journal of Developing Areas, Vol 43 (2), pp. 1-17.
Ginting, A. (2011).The Impacts of ACFTA to Indonesia‐China Trade. ICRA Indonesia Comment, Jakarta.
Haryadi. (2008). Dampak Liberalisasi Perdagangan Pertanian Terhadap Perekonomian Negara Maju dan Berkembang. [Disertasi]. Sekolah Pascasarjana, Bogor. Institut PertanianBogor.
Hosny, A.S. (2013). Theories of Economic Integration: A Survey of the Economic and Political Literature. International Journal of Economy, Management and Social Sciences, Vol 2(5), pp: 133-155.
Mark, S.H. (2012). Impact on Indonesia of The China-ASEAN Free Trade Agreement. Jakarta: USAID dan SEADI.
Nasrudin, B.M. Sinaga, M. Firdaus, D. Walujadi. (2014). China-ASEAN Free Trade: Complementary or Competition. IOSR Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol 3(4), pp. 23-31.
Nongsina, F.S., M. Hutabarat. (2007). Pengaruh Kebijakan Liberalisasi Perdagangan Terhadap Laju Pertumbuhan Ekspor-Impor Indonesia. Makalah Seminar Trade Policy. Universitas Indonesia, Depok.
Oktaviani, R., E. Puspitawati, Haryadi. (2008). Impact of ASEAN Agricultural Trade Liberalization on ASEAN-6 Economies and Income Distribution in Indonesia. Asia-Pacific Research and Training Network. Trade Working Paper Series No.51
Pangestuty, F.W., E. Yusida. (2013). Impact of Double Squeeze Phenomenon on East Java SMI Sustainability after ACFTA Implementation. Proceeding 3rd International Conference on Management, Penang.
Park, D. (2006). The Prospects of ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (ACFTA): A Quality Assessment. Singapore. Nanyang Technological University.
Park, D., I. Park, G.E.B. Estrada. (2008). Prospects of an ASEAN–People’s Republic of China Free Trade Area: A Qualitative and Quantitative Analysis. ADB Working Series Paper No. 130. Manila: Asian Development Bank.
Ridwan. (2009). Dampak Integrasi Ekonomi terhadap Investasi di Kawasan ASEAN: Analisis Model Integrasi. Jurnal Organisasi dan Manajemen, Vol 5 (2): 95-107.
Supriana, T. (2013). Comparing the Effects of ACFTA on Internal Trade of China and ASEAN Countries. Technology and Investment, Vol 4, pp. 10-15.
Supriana, T. (2011). Indonesian Trade under China Free Trade Area. Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, Vol 3 (2), pp. 139-151.
Tambunan, T. (2011). The Impacts of Trade Liberalization on Indonesian Small and Medium-sized Enterprises. TKN Policy Paper. International Institute for Sustainable Development, Manitoba.
Tambunan, T. (2010). Dampak dari Liberalisasi Perdagangan Pertanian Indonesia-China terhadap Produksi dan Ekspor Pertanian di Indonesia: Suatu Penelitian dengan Pendekatan Simulasi. Working Paper. Universitas Trisaksi, Jakarta.
Trotignon, J. (2010). Does Regional Integration Promote the Mulitilateralization of Trade Flows? A Gravity Model Using Panel Data. Journal of Economic Integration, Vol 25 (2), pp. 223-251.
Vanzetti, D., N.R. Setyoko, N.N. Que, R. Trewin. (2011). A comparison of Indonesian and Vietnamese approaches to agriculture in the ASEAN-China FTA. Contributed paper at the 55th AARES Annual Conference, Melbourne
Wahyunto, N. Sutrisno. (2013). Potensi Sumberdaya Lahan Pertanian untuk Mendukung Kemandirian Pangan di Provinsi Kalimantan Barat. Bab V-6 dalam Prospek Pertanian Lahan Kering Dalam Mendukung Ketahanan Pangan. Jakarta: Balitbang Pertanian.
World Bank. (2014a). World Development Indicator. Database online at http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicators.
World Bank. (2014b). Logistics Performance Index. Database online at http:/lpi.worldbank.org.
Copyright (c) 2016 Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Buletin Ilmiah Litbang Perdagangan
